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2078 Week Three Report

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  • 2078 Week Three Report

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    Week 3's report takes a look at running backs, time of possession, and trends in defensive coverages.

    Running Backs: Yards Over Expected

    The Polar Bears' bellcow Devan Osborne leads the way here with a preposterous 80 carries through three weeks, and an incredible +164.1 yards over expected on those carries! The second year former first round pick out of Iowa looks unstoppable so far, and Alaska fans will be hoping he can keep up this volume of carries without breaking down.

    Running Backs: Yards Over Expected

    Time of Possession

    No surprises that four of the top five teams here are also running the most run heavy offenses by number of carries. Murfreesboro are the notable standout with respect to their more balanced offense still allowing them to control the clock, while Dakota are far ahead of the field through week 3.

    Time of Possession

    Coverage

    So far 2078 has seen a significant increase in the use of one deep shells compared to recent seasons, while two-deep coverages have declined significantly.

    Coverage

    Vancouver have faced the most stacked boxes so far this season, unsurprising given their historical preference for running the ball, and this possibly accounts for their middling production on the ground so far this year.

    Softer coverages may be an NC phenomenon, as the 5 top teams facing deep defensive coverage all play there, with Pittsburgh and Georgia facing almost 40%.

    Coverage

    Charts built from FOF game data and play-by-play logs.


  • #2
    Should Tampa be a soft coverage do you think?

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    • #3
      Originally posted by TheseBoots View Post
      Should Tampa be a soft coverage do you think?
      I say yeah. It's basically a Cover-3 but it's a MLB that's deep.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by Nemesis View Post

        I say yeah. It's basically a Cover-3 but it's a MLB that's deep.
        agreed
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        • #5
          Originally posted by Nemesis View Post

          I say yeah. It's basically a Cover-3 but it's a MLB that's deep.
          Ehh... cover-2 with a deeper LB for me. Man to man on the outside rather than zone, which is quite different. Three-deep for sure, but not strictly zone either. I'm gonna sleep on this one and possibly republish.

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          • #6
            Cool Stuff!

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