NC Playoff Scenarios with two weeks left.

[Argot]

First the NC (which is a lot easier)

1. Orlando has clinched the division, the #1 seed, a bye and home field throughout the Imperial Bowl
2. Newark has clinched a wildcard and will be the #5 seed playing against either Little Rock or Texas in the first round of playoffs.
3. Vancouver clinches the division and the #2 seed, with a win against Cleveland or Salt Lake City. They also clinch the division with an Arizona loss to either London or Calgary and clinch the #2 seed with a Dakota loss to Anchorage or Pennsylvania.
4. Dakota clinches the division with a win against Pennsylvania no matter what they do against Anchorage next week. They can also clinch the division by winning out, or with a win against Anchorage while Pennsylvania and Madison both lose at least one of their two remaining games. They can also make the playoffs even if they lose both games, but would need some help.
5. Texas and Little Rock scenarios will be sorted out next week, but one will be the division winner and the other out of the playoffs, unless something REALLY crazy happens. Texas holds the inside track as long as they beat Tulsa in the final game and Little Rock doesn't win out.
6. Arizona holds the inside track on the #6 seed, but one slip and SLC, Pennsylvania, and Madison are all ready to pounce. We will sort the rest out next week.

[Hoosier]

We clinched another season that a Hoosier led team didn't make the Imperial playoffs. Everywhere else..you bet. Imperial? Nope.

[FootballAUS]

Awesome write-up mate, well done.

With Texas obliterating Georgia we have to win out and hope that either Houston or Tulsa can hang a loss on the Trojans. Come on Hoosier, I know you can do it!!!!!!!!!

[markc]

If Vancouver were to lose their last two and Arizona won their last two, they would both have identical head-to-head, conference and divisional records. I'm not sure what the tie-breaker would come down to. Strength of victory? Not sure how that would play out.

[FootballAUS]

According to good old Wikipedia:


Divisional tiebreakers:

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (games played against the same opponents).
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory (the combined won-lost-tied percentage of all the teams that a club has defeated).
6. Strength of schedule (the combined won-lost-tied percentage of all the teams that a club has played against).
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in common games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin Toss.

[markc]

According to good old Wikipedia:


Divisional tiebreakers:

1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games (games played against the same opponents).
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
5. Strength of victory (the combined won-lost-tied percentage of all the teams that a club has defeated).
6. Strength of schedule (the combined won-lost-tied percentage of all the teams that a club has played against).
7. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
8. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
9. Best net points in common games.
10. Best net points in all games.
11. Best net touchdowns in all games.
12. Coin Toss.

thanks. I'm not quite yet interested enough to do the work to determine #3. but If I lose and ARIZ wins next week, I may panic and check it out.

[StevenE]

Mathematically I don't think we're eliminated yet, is that right? I realize it's probably a 1-2% chance of us being in the playoffs but then again I didn't think we would win 5 games let alone possibly finish 9-7.

[markc]

Mathematically I don't think we're eliminated yet, is that right? I realize it's probably a 1-2% chance of us being in the playoffs but then again I didn't think we would win 5 games let alone possibly finish 9-7.

You are definitely still alive for the final wildcard. It is a tall order to win both @ IWC and @ ARI. If you do it will just depend on what other teams are at 9-7 for the tie-breakers, that is if one of the NC West or North teams doesn't end up at 10-6 and take the last WC.

[FootballAUS]

Agreed with MarkC, Calgary still has hopes but will need some help.

For the one (or two?) of you that enjoy reading the LRK preview there will not be one for this week as I'm about to head overseas for work and I'll be travelling for the next two weeks. Good luck to one and all...except for Texas of course :-)

[StevenE]

That would be crazy if somehow we made the postseason...