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Week 16: 2018
WARNING: Relying on the information below may be hazardous to your team’s health. TB assumes no responsibility for GMs not checking for accuracy of the scenarios presented. Please post any discrepancies you may find.
American Conference Observations:
With two weeks left, we still like our week 10 prediction:
THE INFAMOUS TB PREDICTION (barring any critical injuries):
AC North Champion - Cleveland
AC South Champion – Murfreesboro
AC East Champion - Norfolk
AC West Champion - Fresno
Wild Card – West Virgina
Wild Card – Montreal
But here is the scoop.
In the NORTH, Cleveland, Montreal and Iowa City can still win the division fair and square. Here are the variant possibilities:
Cleveland can claim the division with 2 wins.
Montreal can claim with 2 wins and 1 losses from Cleveland.
Iowa City can claim with 2 wins, 2 losses from Cleveland and 2 losses from Montreal.
In the SOUTH, Murfreesboro has won the division and will be hosting a wild card game in the first round of the playoffs.
In the EAST, Norfolk and West Virginia are both mathematically in play for the division and #1 seed.
Norfolk can clinch the division with 1 win and also claim the #1 seed.
West Virginai can steal the crown by winning 2 and Norfolk losing 2.
In the WEST, Fresno and Portland are mathematical candidates for the division championship.
Fresno, can claim by winning out.
Portland covets the title by winning out paired with one Fresno loss; or by winning one with two Fresno losses.
Due to tiebreaker rules, neither club has the potential to qualify for a wild card if it does not win the division.
:arrow: WILD CARDS
If Norfolk loses their division (most unlikely), it is still guaranteed a wild card because of its conference record.
However if Norfolk wins their division (as expected), West Virgina is guaranteed a wild card despite its performance in its last two games.
:?: So who gets the final wild card? Check out with these scenarios.
Teams that end with 12 wins: Scenario: This could mathematically present Cleveland and Montreal. If both get to twelve, Cleveland wins division and Montreal joins West Virginia as the wild cards.
If by chance there is still an opening and the qualifying team has 11 wins:
Cleveland (eleven wins) is in if it won is against Iowa City.
Montreal (eleven wins) is in if its one win is against Wichita.
Iowa City (eleven wins) and if either Cleveland or Montreal loses both of their last two games.
Teams that can qualify with 10 wins: If by fluke, Cleveland and Iowa City are still in play (Montreal eliminated because of lower division record), the tie breaker would come down to strength of victory or strength of schedule (go figure that one yourself).
National Conference Observations:
In week 10, we predicted and will need some help for this to come true:
THE INFAMOUS TB PREDICTION (barring any critical injuries):
NC North Champion – Pennsylvania
NC South Champion - Tulsa
NC East Champion - Lawrence
NC West Champion - Vancouver
Wild Card – Newark
Wild Card – Oakland
In the NORTH, Pennsylvania has won the division and has locked up the #1 seed via its conference record.
In the SOUTH, three teams still remain standing.
Georgia can win the division title by winning out.
Tulsa can reclaim its crown by winning out and any Georgia loss, or a win over Little Rock and a Georgia loss to Texas, or any win and two losses by Georgia.
Little Rock can win the division by winning out and both Georgia and Tulsa losing the remainder of their games.
In the EAST, there are also three teams.
Lawrence can celebrate with any win.
Vermont needs to win out and two losses by Lawrence.
Newark needs to win out, and two losses by Lawrence.
In the WEST, yet another division with teams.
Salt Lake City can stay on top by winning out.
Oakland has the same formula – just win their final two.
Vancouver must win out but also needs SLC to lose two and Oakland to lose one.
:arrow: WILD CARDS
There are no automatic wild cards.
Lawrence can lock in with win against Orlando or a loss by one of these teams: Tulsa or Vermont, or two losses by Georgia.
Teams that end with 11 wins.
Lawrence: IN (division champ).
Georgia: IN (division champ).
Tulsa: Wild Card but division champ with any Geogia loss.
Teams that end with 10 wins.
Lawrence: In with any loss by SLC.
Georgia: In with a win against Little Rock
Tulsa: In with a win against Texas
Vermont: In with 1 wins plus 2 losses by either Georgia or Tulsa.
Madison: in with 2 wins plus 2 losses by either Georgia or Tulsa and 2 losses by Vermont.
Newark: In with 2 wins plus 2 losses by either Georgia or Tulsa and 2 losses by Vermont and a Madison loss.
GOOD LUCK TO ALL STILL IN THE HUNT!
WARNING: Relying on the information below may be hazardous to your team’s health. TB assumes no responsibility for GMs not checking for accuracy of the scenarios presented. Please post any discrepancies you may find.
American Conference Observations:
With two weeks left, we still like our week 10 prediction:
THE INFAMOUS TB PREDICTION (barring any critical injuries):AC North Champion - Cleveland
AC South Champion – Murfreesboro
AC East Champion - Norfolk
AC West Champion - Fresno
Wild Card – West Virgina
Wild Card – Montreal
But here is the scoop.
In the NORTH, Cleveland, Montreal and Iowa City can still win the division fair and square. Here are the variant possibilities:
Cleveland can claim the division with 2 wins.
Montreal can claim with 2 wins and 1 losses from Cleveland.
Iowa City can claim with 2 wins, 2 losses from Cleveland and 2 losses from Montreal.
In the SOUTH, Murfreesboro has won the division and will be hosting a wild card game in the first round of the playoffs.
In the EAST, Norfolk and West Virginia are both mathematically in play for the division and #1 seed.
Norfolk can clinch the division with 1 win and also claim the #1 seed.
West Virginai can steal the crown by winning 2 and Norfolk losing 2.
In the WEST, Fresno and Portland are mathematical candidates for the division championship.
Fresno, can claim by winning out.
Portland covets the title by winning out paired with one Fresno loss; or by winning one with two Fresno losses.
Due to tiebreaker rules, neither club has the potential to qualify for a wild card if it does not win the division.
:arrow: WILD CARDS
If Norfolk loses their division (most unlikely), it is still guaranteed a wild card because of its conference record.
However if Norfolk wins their division (as expected), West Virgina is guaranteed a wild card despite its performance in its last two games.
:?: So who gets the final wild card? Check out with these scenarios.
Teams that end with 12 wins: Scenario: This could mathematically present Cleveland and Montreal. If both get to twelve, Cleveland wins division and Montreal joins West Virginia as the wild cards.
If by chance there is still an opening and the qualifying team has 11 wins:
Cleveland (eleven wins) is in if it won is against Iowa City.
Montreal (eleven wins) is in if its one win is against Wichita.
Iowa City (eleven wins) and if either Cleveland or Montreal loses both of their last two games.
Teams that can qualify with 10 wins: If by fluke, Cleveland and Iowa City are still in play (Montreal eliminated because of lower division record), the tie breaker would come down to strength of victory or strength of schedule (go figure that one yourself).
National Conference Observations:
In week 10, we predicted and will need some help for this to come true:
THE INFAMOUS TB PREDICTION (barring any critical injuries):NC North Champion – Pennsylvania
NC South Champion - Tulsa
NC East Champion - Lawrence
NC West Champion - Vancouver
Wild Card – Newark
Wild Card – Oakland
In the NORTH, Pennsylvania has won the division and has locked up the #1 seed via its conference record.
In the SOUTH, three teams still remain standing.
Georgia can win the division title by winning out.
Tulsa can reclaim its crown by winning out and any Georgia loss, or a win over Little Rock and a Georgia loss to Texas, or any win and two losses by Georgia.
Little Rock can win the division by winning out and both Georgia and Tulsa losing the remainder of their games.
In the EAST, there are also three teams.
Lawrence can celebrate with any win.
Vermont needs to win out and two losses by Lawrence.
Newark needs to win out, and two losses by Lawrence.
In the WEST, yet another division with teams.
Salt Lake City can stay on top by winning out.
Oakland has the same formula – just win their final two.
Vancouver must win out but also needs SLC to lose two and Oakland to lose one.
:arrow: WILD CARDS
There are no automatic wild cards.
Lawrence can lock in with win against Orlando or a loss by one of these teams: Tulsa or Vermont, or two losses by Georgia.
Teams that end with 11 wins.
Lawrence: IN (division champ).
Georgia: IN (division champ).
Tulsa: Wild Card but division champ with any Geogia loss.
Teams that end with 10 wins.
Lawrence: In with any loss by SLC.
Georgia: In with a win against Little Rock
Tulsa: In with a win against Texas
Vermont: In with 1 wins plus 2 losses by either Georgia or Tulsa.
Madison: in with 2 wins plus 2 losses by either Georgia or Tulsa and 2 losses by Vermont.
Newark: In with 2 wins plus 2 losses by either Georgia or Tulsa and 2 losses by Vermont and a Madison loss.
GOOD LUCK TO ALL STILL IN THE HUNT!
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