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The Portland-Albuquerque tiebreaker

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  • The Portland-Albuquerque tiebreaker

    This is assuming Portland wins next week:

    Head to head - 1-1 TIED

    Divisional Games - 4-2 TIED

    Common Games (AC West, AC East, NC South) 12 Total

    Alb 7-5, Por 7-5 TIED

    Conference Record - 8-4 TIED

    Strength of Victory:

    Teams Alb has beaten that Portland hasn't: Norfolk, Cleveland, Little Rock

    Teams Por has beaten that Alb hasn't: Boston, Wichita, Columbia

    Alb's teams' records: 21-23-1

    Por's teams' records: 23-21-1

    Therefore if 2 more teams out of Boston, Wichita, Columbia win than out of Norfolk, Cleveland, Little Rock win, Portland gets strength of victory.

    Norfolk is playing Boston with the #1 seed on the line. I feel good about that one. Wichita is playing Iowa City for the AC North in game that could go either way. Columbia is out of the playoffs playing a Tulsa team fighting for seeding. Whether Columbia shows up in that one or tries to play some young guys for next season remains to be seen. Cleveland and Montreal are playing for which team doesn't finish last in the AC North. Little Rock is doing the same thing against Texas in the NC South.

    If all of my teams win and only one of Portland's win, then we move to the next tiebreaker: Strength of Schedule. The only games we haven't shared are me playing Cleveland and Houston (15-15) and Portland playing Wichita and Louisiana (14-16). Should this group end up in a tie as well, the next step is:

    DISCLAIMER: I'm not 100% on how this next step works, feel free to correct me if the below is false.

    Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.

    Alb is currently 6th in the AC in points scored, and 7th in points allowed.
    Portland is currently 1st in the AC in points scored, and 11th in points allowed.

    Portland combines for a 12 ranking, I combine for a 13 ranking. Portland is ahead here. This is where the score of our game matters if the tiebreaker gets this far.


    It looks like it could go either way with Portland having the slight advantage right now based on strength of victory. I need a Cleveland win big time for strength of victory and strength of schedule should I lose. So to all you sub .500 teams out there who think you don't affect playoff races in your final scrub games, think again. Every game matters this week to someone. Should be fun to see how it plays out.

  • #2
    That'd be awesome if Portland made it after starting the season 0-5(!).
    "Larry Deasoooooooooooooooooon" -- Phil Jenkins

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    • #3
      No it wouldn't!

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      • #4
        You know, one more win and we wouldn't even be here either. In my 6 losses, the margin of defeat has been 5, 3, 1, 8, 1, 4, averaging out to a 3.66 margin in each of my losses. God dammit.

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        • #5
          I'm not sure if your wins against California really count though. That's being decided in the courts.
          "Larry Deasoooooooooooooooooon" -- Phil Jenkins

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          • #6
            ZING

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            • #7
              Originally posted by hawkster
              You know, one more win and we wouldn't even be here either. In my 6 losses, the margin of defeat has been 5, 3, 1, 8, 1, 4, averaging out to a 3.66 margin in each of my losses. God dammit.
              Don't get me started on this. Look at how many points I was up by in just 3 of my losses! I've lost two games in OT where I was up by 14 in the 4th qtr!

              2003 IFL AC East Runner-Up - Wildcard 10-6
              2004 IFL AC East Runner-UP - Wildcard - AC Runner-up 10-5-1
              2005 3rd Place AC East 6-10 2007 2nd Place AC East 8-8
              2006 3rd Place AC East 7-9 2008 2nd Place AC East 9-7
              2009 1st Place AC East, Imperial Bowl Champions 13-3

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              • #8
                Originally posted by Jeff
                I'm not sure if your wins against California really count though. That's being decided in the courts.
                :jerkit:


                Claire, That's Disgusting - A Heroes Blog

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